Pavel Durov dreams of NOT $1 to pay for Telegram servers. But how realistic is this? Let's get creative and look for these treasured "X's".
🧮 Theoretical calculation:
Market capitalization: Currently $2.62 trillion, of which NOT – 2.2 billion at an exchange rate of 0.0216.
Goal: 46x growth (x46) to reach $1.
Where to look for X's? Let's get started:
📆 The importance of upcoming dates for the withdrawal of tokens and their impact on the price
Let's start simple: June 16th will be the last day to withdraw NOTcoin from the bot, which could critically impact the availability and value of the remaining tokens, providing the potential for an initial doubling in price if half of the balances "burn out"
🚀 Market growth:
Since the total value of the cryptocurrency market has increased 10-fold over the past four years, there is reason to believe that the next economic cycle could lead to an increase in capitalization to $8.5 trillion (x10 from the bottom after the last bull run), which would significantly push the price higher. This is also x3.3.
🔗 Support and popularization of "super Menami"
- Examples of past successes of other cryptocurrencies show that the attention of celebrities and technology leaders can significantly increase interest and throw a token into the top 20, examples include Doge, Shiba, Pepe. Getting into the TOP 20 means X's, we just found x3 more
📈 Impact of news and world events on cryptocurrency markets
- News, especially those that unexpectedly affect cryptocurrencies, can cause sharp price changes. A positive news background, no matter where it comes from, can make x2 even for the fattest coin.
🔥 Token burning
- Strategies aimed at reducing the number of tokens in circulation, in the long term, can bring the last necessary growth percentages to achieve the goal of one dollar; at a distance of 6-7 years, it is quite possible to get 1.2x by burning.
🎉 Total: x2 x3.3 x3 x2 x1.2 = x47.52 Congratulations, your NOTs are worth even more than $1, it seems you are rich, but...
🛑 Reality:
❌ This scenario is pure fantasy, an ideal combination of circumstances, we can just as easily come up with x50 in the opposite direction) However, these facts individually do not look like something impossible)
NOT at $1 – this is a highly unlikely scenario. While some factors could push the price higher, such explosive growth is unlikely. It's better to focus on realistic expectations and not give in to euphoria. Maintaining current prices will be a great success, increasing to 0.05-0.1 will be a tremendous success, perhaps the greatest success in the history of the industry
