Purification Roadmap: The Final Sequence
Phase One: Erosion of Trust (Initial Decline)
Procedure: Bitcoin leaves its current comfort zone (around $70,000) and begins a clear and decisive decline. This is not a crash, but erosion. Trust is crumbling day by day.
Destination: $60,000
Estimated Duration: One to two weeks.
Stage Two: Pressure at 60,000 (Trap Manufacturing)
Action: Upon reaching 60,000, the market does not collapse immediately. Instead, it breathes. It consolidates. It moves sideways, giving the impression that it has found strong support. Here, the energy necessary for the trap is gathered. The spring is compressed.
Destination: $59,000 - $62,000 Area
Estimated Duration: Approximately one week.
Stage Three: Light Trap (False Bounce)
Action: From the base of 60,000, an unprecedented violent explosion. A rapid rise, full of euphoria, crushing the short sellers and awakening hope. The media will scream about the return of the bull market. This is the most important chapter in the play.
Destination: Peak at ~$82,000
Estimated Duration: From 5 to 8 days.
Stage Four: Short Breath (Rejection Under the Trap)
Action: Upon reaching its target at ~$82,000, the market exhausts its energy. It no longer has the strength to rise further. The price stops, hesitates, and then the first signs of rejection appear. This is the confirmation that the trap has been closed.
Destination: Stagnation and Rejection in the $78,000 - $82,000 Area
97...108...112
Estimated Duration: From 2 to 4 days.
Stage Five: Surrender (The Great Descent Towards the Core)
Here the real pain begins. The descent occurs in two stages.
5A - The Crack: A rapid and violent drop from the top of the trap, breaking the psychological support at 60,000. The market realizes its grave mistake.
Destination: $50,000
Estimated Duration: Less than one week.
5B - Descent Towards the Core: After a short pause, complete panic ensues. Sequential selling. The market is no longer looking for support but searching for the bottom of the well. This is the final cleansing of all hopes.
Destination: $24,000
Estimated Duration: Two weeks of continuous panic.
Stage Six: Reaching the Center of Gravity (Silence)
Action: The price finally enters the "true investment zone." Volatility collapses. Trading volume decreases. Silence ensues. It is the end of the cycle. The king has returned to its foundation. It is the beginning of a long winter, the right moment for founders to rebuild.
Destination: $20,000 - $24,000 Area
Estimated Duration: Undefined. Beginning of long accumulation.
Sequence Summary
Stage Action Estimated Duration 1 Erosion 70,000 ← 60,000 1-2 Weeks
2 Pressure Consolidation at 60,000 ~1 Week
3 Trap 60,000 ← 82,000 5-8 Days
4 Rejection Failure at 82,000 2-4 Days
5 Surrender 82,000...97...108...112
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← 24,000 ~ 3 Weeks 6 Reaching Silence at 24,000 Undefined
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Stage Action Estimated Duration
1 Erosion 70,000 ← 60,000 1-2 Weeks
2 Pressure Consolidation at 60,000 ~1 Week
3 Trap 60,000 ← 82,000 5-8 Days
4 Rejection Failure at 82,000 2-4 Days
5 Surrender 82,000 ← 24,000 ~3 Weeks
6 Reaching Silence at 24,000 Undefined
