Oh wow, recently the square has been刷ing "Yili Hua's liquidation countdown" every day, and Liangxi's line "smash it to 1000 and explode him" made my hands tremble.

As I was scrolling, I thought: what would happen if it really exploded? Come on, let's not pretend to be experts, just share my little retail investor's watermelon speculation (purely personal little theater, just for laughs).

First, let's talk about Yili Hua himself:

460,000 ETH, 1 billion dollars position, a floating loss of 470 million is already painful enough. If it really breaks the 1640 liquidation line (if he doesn't top up or can't top up), the system will forcibly sell to repay debts, and the remainder will be zero.

The result? Wealth was directly halved, going from "the on-chain trend guru" to "liquidation meme king" in an instant.

The community is mocking: “Sun Cut 2.0”, “The Contract Father has become a contract leek himself”, “Boss Yi: It’s too hard for me.”

After this, when he pulls projects and calls orders, fans will probably run away, Trend Research will be half dead.

I imagine how he posts:

“Brothers, I’m liquidated... Cool Dream, you win, I’ll go sell a kidney to pay off my debts (crying)”

Hahaha, I feel sorry for a second, then want to laugh for three seconds.

Speaking of the ETH price:

Liquidation = forced sale of 460,000 ETH, even if sold in batches, it’s still a massive dump.

In the short term, panic is certain: a flash crash of 10-20% is not a dream, and 2000 support will directly turn into a sieve, with 1800 and 1700 poking down all the way.

But don’t expect him to bring ETH to hell alone—there are always bottom-fishing buyers, institutional hedging, and whales to support.

More likely: Liquidation triggers chain liquidations → Long positions panic sell → Prices plummet → Long positions counterattack → Shorts get liquidated.

In the end, ETH is likely to stop bleeding in the range of 1800-2000 and will not free fall to the 1000 that Cool Dream has been wishing for.

For the whole circle:

The square/X will explode, and the next wave of “Withdrawal Movement 2.0” and the slogan “Not your keys, not your coins” will become popular again.

DeFi lending protocol TVL short-term outflow, Aave interest rates soar, users run away.

But in the long run, this kind of “big shot liquidation” is actually a good thing—leverages come down, retail investors learn to be smart, and the market clears a wave, making the ecosystem healthier.

What about Cool Dream? If it really goes down, he becomes a prophetic god, and his short-term reputation skyrockets; if it only drops to 1700 and is supported, he becomes the toxic milk king who gets mocked for flipping.

I bet the latter has a higher probability; Cool Dream is nice to talk, but when it comes to execution... he’ll have to bleed himself.

In short, my conclusion: The consequences of Yi Lihua's liquidation mainly involve his own wealth being halved + reputation collapse + short-term panic selling of ETH, but it will not drag the entire market into hell.

There are always buyers in the market; liquidation is more of an emotional magnifier, not an apocalypse switch.

I bet he probably won’t die (supplement margin + the market isn’t that cruel), but if it really breaks around 1640... Cool Dream, your toxic milk will be incredibly powerful, I’ll applaud you for three minutes (manual dog head).