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The big pancake plunged all the way down, hitting a low of 62233. Once this number came out, the group exploded again, and everyone was asking the same question: “Teacher Qingshan, is this it? Can we buy the dip now?”

My answer is: this position deserves high alert, it may form a temporary bottom, but you absolutely cannot rush in with your eyes closed! Whether this is the major bottom or not, the market has not yet given a final answer, but we can see a few key signals.

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Why do we say 62233 'may be the bottom'? Look at these three signs:

1. The sentiment has reached a 'freezing point,' and most of the sell orders have almost been sold out.

The real bottom is never bought, it is sold when the selling pressure is exhausted. This time the crash has completely washed out a large number of highly leveraged bulls and uncertain holders. The market fear index has reached an extremely fearful area; when retail investors dare not easily talk about 'buying the dip,' only then can real buying power slowly enter the market.

2. A 'resistance' appears at a key position, and the decline stops.

The range of 62000-63000 USD is an important technical threshold and a dense area of chips before last year's bull market started. When the price falls here, it encounters strong psychological and technical support. From the market perspective, after dropping to 62233, it quickly rebounded, indicating that funds began to take positions at this level, making it more difficult for bears to push down. This is the first necessary condition for forming a bottom.

3. The characteristics of 'panic selling' are obvious

Such a sharp drop in a short period of time, often accompanied by the last wave of panic selling, is professionally called 'Capitulation.' Although it is brutal, it usually marks the market clearing risks and approaching a temporary low point.

Important reminder: The bottom is a 'region,' not a 'point.'

Remember, the bottom is not just the price of 62233, but a process of forming fluctuations around it. The probability of a direct V-shaped reversal is very low; the greater possibility is that this area will repeatedly rub against each other, oscillate, and exhaust the last selling pressure to solidify the foundation.

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What to do next? Teacher Qingshan gives you two iron rules:

1. Give up the idea of 'going all in to buy the dip.'

Even if this is the bottom area, the market may oscillate repeatedly, causing you to lose patience. If you are a spot trader, consider testing with an extremely light position and a strategy of gradual layout, dividing your funds into several parts, slowly buying while widening the price difference, and setting stop losses. Never bet heavily on a single point.

2. Wait for the 'confirmation signal' on the right side

For most people, the safer method is 'don't guess the bottom, wait for the trend.' Patiently wait for the market to produce clear right-side signals by itself, such as:

· The price can continue to stabilize above 65000 USD.

· There is a significant increase in volume, breaking through the downward trend line.

· The weekly or daily level has formed a stronger bottom structure like a 'double bottom.'

Follow up only when these signals appear. Although the cost may be slightly higher, the certainty is greater, which can avoid the maximum risk of 'buying the dip halfway up the mountain.'

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I know many people are stuck with positions and are anxious. But the more critical the position, the more calmly you should observe, letting the market move a little longer to see its true intentions.

If you don't understand the current market or are struggling with how to handle your positions, you must pay attention to Teacher Qingshan. Let's combine real-time market conditions and keep a close eye on these key signals to clearly see what the market really wants to do.

Remember, opportunities are always given to those who are prepared and disciplined. See you in the live room at 2 PM!