Let's start with the conclusion
The four-year bull and bear cycle in the crypto world is over
We are still in a macro bull market cycle
@CZ Big Brother also mentioned similar things
I completely agree
Here are the specific reasons.
The main reason is that the Russia-Ukraine war has not ended. The Federal Reserve cannot lower interest rates.
The original four-year cycle coincided with the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and cuts, and in fact, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions are the main contradiction. It misled us into thinking that the halving of Bitcoin was influencing the bull market. It's not, it's still the Federal Reserve that is in control.
Why is the war ongoing and interest rates cannot be lowered? Because if interest rates are lowered, funds cannot go bottom-fishing, and funds are also hesitant to invest while the war is ongoing.
Now the Russia-Ukraine war cannot stop. The Federal Reserve has also paused interest rate cuts. Moreover, the conflict between the United States and Iran is also escalating.
This just confirms that the original four-year cycle has been intentionally extended.
Trump needs to end the war for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. Because lowering interest rates aligns with Trump's policies,
Everyone remembers that when Trump first took office, he was shouting every day to end the war while also calling for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, right? But the Federal Reserve ignored him, and so did the Russia-Ukraine situation.
No one is listening to him. There's no way out. We can only open new battlefields. The Federal Reserve has also paused interest rate cuts.
In fact, the United States is cooperating with the Federal Reserve to delay the bull market cycle.
So after this wave of deleveraging, it should take off quickly. New highs. Uncatchable.
Left foot stepping on the right foot, spiraling takeoff.
This also explains why altcoins have been continuously falling this year.
Because Ethereum and Bitcoin have not really gained momentum yet.
It's not their turn just yet.
So
The bull is still here, a raging bull market! The explosive rise is unimaginable.
You can consider me a crazy person talking nonsense.
