$BTC has confirmed its entry into a downtrend, and its four-year cycle pattern remains valid. This cycle is closely related to Bitcoin's "halving" mechanism: after each halving, the new coin supply decreases, driving prices up within one to one and a half years, followed by a correction lasting about a year, as historical data corroborates this pattern:

In 2012, halving occurred, peak in 2013, decline in 2014;

In 2016, halving occurred, peak in 2017, decline in 2018;

In 2020, halving occurred, peak in 2021, decline in 2022;

After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin is expected to reach around $126,000 in 2025;

Entering 2026, the price has fallen below the upward trend, establishing a downtrend.

Although many believed that ETFs changed this halving law over the past year, I believe the cycle will continue, and the sentiment will as well, just that the way it manifests will be different, the decline might be relatively milder, the volatility might be faster, and it won't spread to altcoins as it did before.

Holding $BTC will always be the way to go.

#WhenWillBTCRebound #BTCHALIVING