Experienced players miss opportunities, while inexperienced newcomers repeatedly succeed. The ecosystem of the cryptocurrency world is truly fascinating.
As an analyst who has been in the cryptocurrency space for many years, I have noticed an interesting phenomenon: whenever a big market move occurs, it's often the inexperienced newcomers who get to benefit first, not the seasoned players.
Why does this happen? The seasoned players, having endured the bear market, become overly cautious, always thinking about waiting for a pullback to enter the market. As a result, the market doesn't give any opportunities and just takes off.
And those newcomers, because they don't understand so-called 'technical indicators,' dare to place heavy bets at the beginning of a trend, ultimately reaping substantial rewards.
01 Opportunities slip away, and the cognitive gap is the profit space
The opportunity window in the crypto space closes faster than you might think. When a concept is being discussed even by the aunties on the street, this wave of market action is basically coming to an end.
Looking back at the early airdrops, the entry barrier was low, but the returns were astonishing. Later, the rules became complex, like solving a problem, and even turned into 'reverse pulling'. In the early days of the inscription explosion, many people obtained huge returns at a very low cost. By the time the entire network was hotly discussed, those who rushed in became the typical bag holders.
The logic behind this is simple: when the 'cognitive gap' of an opportunity is filled by the public, its excess return window closes. The market always rewards those who understand first and dare to act.
02 Real cases: Who made money in 2025?
The market of 2025 taught us a vivid lesson. Those who positioned themselves when AI tokens were just emerging reaped astonishing returns. Projects like RENDER and FET had early participants yielding multiples or even dozens of times their investments.
Similarly, in the MEME coin space, some have achieved a 5000-fold increase with the MOODENG coin, earning $350,000. Those who waited to enter at the peak are basically just buying the top.
In 2025, the total market value of digital assets reached $3.92 trillion, with a quarterly increase of 42%. However, not everyone could share in this wave of growth.
Some veteran traders I know missed the chance to heavily invest in SOL and MEME in the first half of the year. Although they made some gains on SUI, they failed to capture the subsequent rise. This is a typical 'old retail trader mindset'—afraid to chase after a rise and always wanting to wait for a correction.
03 How to avoid becoming a bag holder?
First, you must overcome greed. Over 95% of losses in the stock market are due to greed, and the same applies to the crypto space. Don't blindly follow others just because they are making money.
Doing your homework is essential. You need to understand the fundamentals of the project: team background, technical strength, economic model, etc. Don't just listen to so-called 'news'; at least know what this company does, how its performance is, and whether it has growth potential.
On-chain data analysis capabilities are becoming increasingly important. By analyzing the changes in major on-chain holdings, you can capture market trends in advance. Many tools can now help us monitor this data, such as Dune and Flipside.
Capital management is key to survival. Invest with money you can afford to lose, and diversify your risks. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
04 Where are the opportunities in 2026?
Based on my observations, the following directions are worth paying attention to in 2026:
The integration of AI and blockchain will accelerate, especially for AI proxy tokens and decentralized AI projects. RWA (real-world assets) tokenization will continue to advance, and more traditional assets will be brought on-chain.
Predicting which markets may rise, upgrading from fringe betting tools to real-time probability pricing engines. The payment track also has great potential, especially stablecoin payment integrators.
For beginners, my advice is: start from a field you understand and find a suitable track for yourself. If you have a particular understanding of a field, start from there, and the results will be more effective.
05 Key rules for long-term survival
To survive in this market for the long term, you need to adhere to a few simple rules: do not recklessly use perpetual contracts, do not blindly worship the founders, do not lock up your tokens, and do not buy assets that are surging.
Taking profits in a timely manner is very important. Altcoin Sherpa is right: a bull market does not mean that all coins will return to historical highs. If the investment portfolio is very diversified, it's advisable to sell part of your holdings at the end of the next rotation.
Maintaining a good mindset is key; it helps make calm decisions. The market is always fluctuating, so don't let short-term ups and downs affect your judgment.
Remember, making money in this market is one thing; keeping profits is another. The real opportunities always brew quietly in places that no one pays attention to. When everyone knows this is an opportunity, it is no longer an opportunity.
There are no shortcuts in the crypto space, but there are certain patterns to follow. Keep learning, stay cautious, but be decisive when it's time to act. This is the way to win in the long run. Follow Bin Ge to learn more first-hand information and knowledge about the crypto space and become your guide in the crypto world; learning is your greatest wealth!#BTC走势分析 #V神卖币 $ETH
