BTC has fallen 40% from its peak. Will it drop below 50k this year?
In recent days, $BTC has seen a significant decline,
from the high point of 97k in mid-January all the way down,
dropping below 90k, 85k, 80k, 75k, down to 74600,
Those who are bottom-fishing are buying lower and lower, and prices keep falling,
There is no lowest, only lower,
The price is now back to 78k, but market confidence is lacking,
Many friends around me want to cash out and leave the market, looking to play elsewhere,
Very few new friends are entering the market, trading has become inactive.
The prevailing mood of decline dominates the market,
Many people are asking if BTC will fall below 50k USD this year?
Based on previous rounds of bull-to-bear market trends,
the maximum decline has exceeded 70%,
The bull market peak in 2025 is 126000 USD,
If the decline is 30%, it would drop to 88,200 USD, which has already broken;
If the decline is 40%, it would drop to 75600 USD, which has already broken;
If the decline is 50%, it would drop to 63000 USD, which has not been reached;
If the decline is 60%, it would drop to 50400 USD; it has not been reached;
If the decline is 70%, it would drop to 37800 USD; it has not been reached;
If this round has a 70% decline, it would be very terrifying,
I wonder how many people will continue to play, how many will stay in the market?
Past trends are just references,
The discussion about whether there is a 4-year cycle is ongoing,
Relative data is merely a futile attempt,
The market does not develop according to personal preferences,
Only time can provide an accurate answer,
I also ponder if BTC experiences a 60-70% decline again,
Would I go all in?
If it drops to 5w, how much would I buy?
If it drops to 3w, how much would I buy again?
At that point, it’s just faith and confidence,
Those who are firmly optimistic will continue to hold, daring to buy at low points,
But during every prolonged bear market price low period,
More doubts, abandonment, and worries arise,
Will BTC rise again?
Is this round the end?
Every buying action is a future gamble,
If correct, one earns,
If wrong, one loses, and there’s even a chance of losing everything overnight,
Filled with enormous uncertainty.
Some are speculators, some are investors,
Some seek quick profits, while others are value investors,
There is no precise way or path,
The external opinions and comments are just noise,
What’s important is,
What risks do you want to take in the crypto world,
What returns do you wish to enjoy?
How to participate in this uncertain historical phase,
How to seize the opportunities or risks of a new round of bear market?
