4-hour Futures Trading Plan (clear, actionable)
🟥Aggressive Long (higher probability, medium R:R)
Use when you expect trend to resume up after pullback.
Zone to watch (buy area): 18.8 – 19.6
Entry: scale in between 19.6 → 19.0 → 18.8 (partial entries; if filled lower add another tranche)
Stop-loss (hard): 17.7 (a little below MA99 17.69 — invalidates this long view if broken)
Take-profit (targets):
TP1 (partial) = 21.0 (first resistance / MA7)
TP2 = 22.4 – 22.6 (MA25 zone)
TP3 = 24.5 – 24.8 (recent swing high / supply)
Risk/Reward example: entry 19.0 SL 17.7 → risk 1.3; TP1 21.0 reward 2.0 → R:R ≈ 1.5:1; TP2 reward ≈ 3.4 → R:R ≈ 2.6:1.
Leverage: conservative — 3–5x max. Adjust size so SL risk = 0.5–1% of account per full trade.
Notes: if price rallies above 22.6 with a confirmed 4h close and volume, move stops to break-even and consider adding.
🟡 Conservative Long (trend-confirmation breakout)
Use if you prefer confirmation before buying.
Trigger / Entry: buy on 4-hour close above 22.6–22.8 (break and hold above MA25)
Entry: market or limit at 22.7 on confirmed close
Stop-loss: 21.0 (below MA7 / prior structure)
TPs: TP1 = 24.8, TP2 = 28–30 (if momentum strong)
R:R: entry 22.7 SL 21.0 → risk 1.7; TP1 reward 2.1 → R:R ≈ 1.2:1 (but TP2 gives larger R:R)
Notes: This avoids being caught in a false bounce.
⚪Short (if breakdown / bearish continuation)
Use if price fails and momentum flips lower (volume confirms).
Short trigger: 4-hour close below 17.6–17.7 (break MA99) with increased selling volume
Entry: short on break 17.6 (or on retest back to 18.2–18.8)
Stop-loss: 18.6–19.0 (above retest zone)
Take-profit:
TP1 = 15.0 (prior swing low)
TP2 = 12.5–13.0 (24h low area shown 10.255 historically but middle target here)
Notes: Avoid shorting into strong support unless clear follow-through.
$RIVER
