2.2 Four-Year Cycle: Weekly EMA Death Cross Pattern

1. History seems to repeat itself; since 2014, that four-year curse has never been absent. Now, in the BTC weekly chart, both the EMA20 and EMA60 moving averages have once again confirmed the death cross signal after a four-year interval.

2. Based on past experiences, the establishment of a death cross usually marks that the bear market is just past its halfway point. Although we have not yet experienced that extreme panic-driven acceleration in decline, everyone still needs to remain vigilant, as such severe fluctuations could erupt at any moment.

3. Another notable pattern is that after the formation of a death cross, unless the bear market is completely over, prices often struggle to break through and stabilize above the key position of the weekly EMA20.