Today (January 31, 2026), the overall risk aversion sentiment in the cryptocurrency market is dominant, impacted by the partial shutdown of the U.S. government, leading to a price pullback for BTC. The following summarizes key indicators based on real-time mainstream data (sources such as CoinDesk, Yahoo Finance, CoinMarketCap, Trading Economics, etc.): Current BTC price: around $82,500–$83,000 range fluctuation (CoinDesk real-time quote $82,521.45, Yahoo Finance shows $82,500.31, Trading Economics $82,475–$82,491, 24h decline of about 0.14%–1.95%).
24h trading volume: approximately $24.34B–$71.81B (slight variations across different platforms, but overall active).
Market cap: approximately $1.65T–$1.68T (circulating supply around 19.98M BTC).
Support/Resistance reference: short-term support level $80,000–$83,000, if the closure event is resolved quickly, it may rebound to $85,000+; if liquidity continues to tighten, the risk of dropping to $78,000–$80,000 increases.
Institutional holding data: Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) latest holdings (updated on January 26): 712,647 BTC, total cost approximately $54.19B, average purchase price $76,037/BTC, current unrealized gains are significant (holding value approximately $58.91B+).
BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) AUM: approximately $64.8B (data from January 30), holding about 773,671 BTC (minor adjustments from January 29–30), still the largest Bitcoin ETF, showing institutional resilience.
Event impact: Polymarket closure probability once reached 75%–99.6% (different contracts), Congress's divergence over DHS funding led to some service interruptions. The crypto market followed traditional assets in weakening, but it is not a systemic crisis, and liquidity impact is limited (some closures over the weekend, House reconvenes on Monday).
Overall trend of institutional adoption in 2026 remains unchanged (clear regulation + loose expectations support long-term), but the adjustment at the end of January belongs to a macro digestion phase. DYOR, please be cautious in a high volatility environment.#BTC #Crypto2026to2030 #ShutdownOver
