đ¨Crypto Is NOT Dumping Because of Fear Itâs Liquidity Mathđ¤
Everyone is screaming U.S. shutdown crypto crash
Thatâs lazy thinking. Let me break whatâs actually happening
Yes, the U.S. government has a February 31 funding deadline
If politicians stall, parts of the government shut down
But news alone doesnât crash markets liquidity does
The real driver nobody explains properly đ
TGA Treasury General Account
Think of TGA as the U.S. governmentâs wallet.
When TGA rises, cash is pulled OUT of the system
Less liquidity pressure on risk assets
Crypto is a liquidity sponge, not a safe haven
Thatâs why Bitcoin doesnât dump because of headlinesđĽ
It dumps when money is drained
What can realistically happen next
Scenario 1ď¸âŁLast-minute deal most likely
Short-term relief pump
After that â market follows pure technicals, not news
Scenario 2ď¸âŁShutdown actually starts
Liquidity tightens
Sharp dump across risk assets
BTC & ETH likely repeat previous shutdown behavior
Scenario 3ď¸âŁ Deal happens, but liquidity stays tight
Choppy, slow market
Least probable, but still possible
So what should YOU do? (Not financial advice
đĽ Futures traders
Drop the ego, reduce leverage
Avoid tight stops shutdown headlines create violent wicks
đ§ Spot traders:
Donât panic buy
Wait for forced liquidity dips
Thatâs where real money is made
Coins Iâm watching if panic hits
SOL â limit bids below $120
ETH â strong interest below $2,000
XRP â reload zone below $1.20
Smart money doesnât chase green candles
It waits for liquidity stress
