๐ด Key High-Impact News in Your Image
1๏ธโฃ AUD CPI (Inflation Data)
Measures inflation in Australia
Higher CPI = risk-off
Lower CPI = risk-on
๐ Crypto impact:
Low to medium impact globally. It can affect risk sentiment slightly but not a major crypto mover.
2๏ธโฃ BOC (Bank of Canada) Rate Decision
Interest rate unchanged at 2.25%
Market focuses on tone (hawkish or dovish)
๐ Crypto impact:
Low to medium. Mainly affects CAD pairs, not Bitcoin directly.
๐ฅ MOST IMPORTANT: USD FOMC (Federal Reserve)
3๏ธโฃ Federal Funds Rate
Current: 3.75%
If rates stay the same โ neutral
Any hint of future cuts โ bullish
Any hint of rate hikes or delays โ bearish
4๏ธโฃ FOMC Statement & Press Conference
This is the biggest market mover ๐จ
Jerome Powellโs words matter more than the rate itself.
๐ Crypto Market Scenarios
โ
Bullish Scenario (Good for Crypto ๐)
Rate unchanged
Powell sounds dovish
Mentions:
Inflation cooling
Possible future rate cuts
Economic slowdown risks
๐ Result:
BTC pumps
Altcoins rally
Risk-on sentiment
Strong bullish candles
โ Bearish Scenario (Bad for Crypto ๐)
Hawkish tone
Says:
Inflation still high
Rates will stay high longer
No cuts soon
๐ Result:
BTC dump
Alts bleed
Liquidity leaves market
Fake pumps then sell-off
โ๏ธ Most Likely Outcome (Market Expectation)
๐ Volatile first, then direction confirms
๐ Initial spike both sides (liquidity grab)
๐ Real trend after press conference
๐ง Trading Tip (Important)
Donโt trade during FOMC release
Wait 15โ30 minutes
Trade after structure forms
Follow BTC reaction first
๐ฎ Final Verdict
๐ Market direction depends on Powellโs tone
Dovish = Bullish
Hawkish = Bearish
