#比特币2026年价格预测

In 2026, the price of Bitcoin will be deeply entangled in the game of cyclical laws and new variables, exhibiting high volatility characteristics, with significant predictions range from institutions. As the second year after the fourth halving in 2024, historical patterns indicate a high probability of entering an adjustment cycle, but the influx of institutional funds brought by spot ETFs is reconstructing market logic.

The market has already shown severe fluctuations at the beginning of the year, causing large-scale liquidations twice within the year, with prices retreating nearly 30% from the high of $126,000 in 2025. Institutional forecasts show polarization: Bernstein, Standard Chartered, and others are bullish up to $150,000, while optimistic expectations from Bit Mining reach a ceiling of $225,000; Fidelity and others provide a conservative support range of $65,000 - $75,000.

The halving effect on the supply side is diminishing, with the annual inflation rate dropping to 0.85%, making demand the key variable. The tightening of the global regulatory framework and the process of compliance are proceeding in parallel, with ETF capital flows, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and geopolitical situations dominating the market. Overall, Bitcoin in 2026 may fluctuate in the range of $75,000 - $170,000, with the second half of the year potentially welcoming trend opportunities amid liquidity easing.