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Power Struggle|Federal Reserve Caught in 'Dual Leadership' Dilemma, Trump and Powell's Game Escalates!】
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🔥 An unprecedented political and central bank showdown is unfolding in Washington! The Trump administration recently issued an unprecedented grand jury subpoena to the Federal Reserve through the Department of Justice, seen as a direct escalation of presidential interference in monetary policy. This game could lead to a dramatic scenario: current Chair Powell may remain on the Federal Reserve Board after his term ends in May, potentially forming a 'dual power center' internally.
⚔️ Core Conflicts and Potential Impacts:
1️⃣ The 'Dual Pope' Dilemma: Former Cleveland Fed President warns that if Powell remains on the board, he may create competitive influence with the new chair, leading to confusion in the market over 'who truly holds power and the direction of interest rates.'
2️⃣ Trump’s Plans Encounter Obstacles: Powell’s continuation will directly disrupt Trump’s strategy of pushing for larger rate cuts through the appointment of a new chair, and could create strong checks and balances within the board.
3️⃣ Systemic Risks: If the political game intensifies, the possibility of Trump pressuring the board to dismiss regional Fed presidents cannot be ruled out, which would severely impact the tradition of Fed independence.
💡 Insights for the Market:
· Central bank independence and policy certainty are the cornerstones of global markets (including crypto markets). If the Fed is caught in internal authority division, will it exacerbate volatility in global capital markets?
· Will the short-term interest rate path become more unpredictable due to personnel struggles?
· Does this suggest that for some time, the market may have to engage in more complex pricing between 'political demands' and 'economic data'?
⚠️ Key Reminder:
The situation is still dynamically evolving, and the final outcome depends on judicial processes, Powell's personal decisions, and subsequent political maneuvering.
👉 Do you think Powell will ultimately choose to step down to uphold the Fed's tradition, or will he remain on the board as a balancing force?

