Global markets are watching for a "black" or "golden" Friday, with a 77% chance of a historic Supreme Court ruling declaring President Trump's tariffs unlawful. If this decision occurs, it would completely reshape the economic landscape.
🔍 Expected scenarios and their impact on markets:
• Risk-on surge (Risk-On):
Repealing tariffs would remove one of the biggest barriers to global trade, potentially driving stocks and cryptocurrencies (especially Bitcoin) into frenzy levels due to expectations of lower inflation and improved supply chains.
• Weakness in the US dollar:
Tariffs have supported the dollar. Their removal could lead to a decline in the dollar index (DXY), which historically has acted as "fuel" for gold and crypto rallies as alternative investments.
• A shock in the mining sector:
Many mining rigs (ASICs) have been affected by these tariffs. Their removal would mean lower infrastructure costs for mining companies in the US, which could boost mining stock prices and network hash rate.
📊 Why is the market pricing this possibility at 77%?
Legal analysts believe that basing tariffs on national emergency laws has exceeded constitutional limits, making the Supreme Court (mostly conservative) inclined to protect the separation of powers and limit the president's executive authority.
💡 Key takeaway for traders:
Friday won't be an ordinary day. If this scenario materializes, we might witness a historic "green candle" for high-risk assets. Conversely, if market expectations are disappointed, a rapid correction could follow due to the shock.
Advice: Make sure to secure your positions, as volatility will be at its peak.
⚠️ Warning: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies is high-risk; make sure to do your own research
Do you think the US judiciary will dare to stand up to Trump's economic policies? Share your prediction! 👇