Brothers, I am Si Sheng, today's market is a bit interesting. This morning when I opened my eyes to check the market, BTC was still hovering around 92800, with a bunch of lines on the 4-hour chart making my head spin, but if you take a closer look, several key signals have quietly emerged...
1. News: Two major 'whales' are simultaneously making moves, is the market about to change?
The first explosive news: The Maduro regime in Venezuela has collapsed, hiding a 'shadow reserve' of 60 billion USD worth of Bitcoin! Since 2018, Venezuela has been secretly accumulating over 660,000 Bitcoins, valued between 56 billion to 67 billion USD, by exchanging gold, exporting oil for USDT, and then converting to BTC. If so many Bitcoins are released, audited, or even sold due to a change in regime, it will definitely reshape the global Bitcoin market landscape.
Second piece of hot news: A whale spent 2.86 million dollars to buy 100,000 dollars worth of call options and has already made a profit of 2.46 million dollars!
This big player is betting on BTC breaking 100,000 dollars before January 30 on Deribit, and has already made a fortune. This indicates that large funds are betting on a short-term surge, and it is real money at stake.
Summary view: On one side is the possible release of a 'national-level Bitcoin reserve', and on the other side is a giant whale betting on 100,000 dollar options. The combination of both clearly tilts market sentiment towards the bulls, with funds and expectations moving in the direction of a 'breakthrough'. If you are unclear about the specific entry points, you can follow Si Sheng, and friends who have paid attention to me can receive real-time reminders in the village 24 hours a day.
2. First, pour a basin of cold water: Don't be scared by 'overbought'
Currently, both RSI and MFI are in the overbought zone. Many people see 'overbought' and want to run, but we need to see through the essence. The MACD yellow and white lines are slowly climbing above the 0 axis, and we can see the death cross turning into a golden cross. This is not a signal of a crash; it is clearly a posture of accumulating strength! The volume yesterday shrank like a salted fish, and today there was a sudden burst of green bars, indicating that large funds are secretly entering the market.
Remember one thing: Overbought in a bull market may just be a halftime break.
Technical view: I am bullish on the current trend, but it may pull back in the short term first. Remember the key price level of 91800— as long as this does not break, after the pullback, it will continue to rise; but if it breaks below, the direction will change, and we need to switch to a short position. Keep a close eye on this position; it is the dividing line between bulls and bears!
3. Si Sheng's operational thought:
For those with heavy positions: Don't chase the highs now! Wait for a pullback near 90000 before considering adding positions. If it breaks 93800, you can chase with a small amount, but remember to set a stop loss at 96000.
For those out of the market: 88000 is a gift from heaven, don't reach out unless it's there. If you really want to get in now, use 5% of your funds to play a swing, earn some meal money, and then run.
What everyone must do: Keep a close eye on the news from Venezuela tonight! This is ten times more important than the technical aspect. Once there is news of reserve movements, the market can change in minutes.
Si Sheng announces three waves of strategies in the village every day. If you are not holding a position of 5 million, please follow Si Sheng's real-time advice in the village to avoid risk of liquidation. The current market is unpredictable, and each villager's position is different, so please update real-time the entry points announced by Si Sheng in the village!
Si Sheng's comprehensive view: The market is currently very tense. On one side, there are rumors that the country may hoard Bitcoin, while on the other side, big players are pouring money into betting on 100,000 dollar options. The sentiment and funds of the bulls are gathering. I am overall bullish, but there may be a pullback in the short term first.
The key is to watch 91800: If it does not break, after the pullback, it will continue to rise; but if it breaks effectively, the thinking must turn to bearish. This position is the lifeline for bulls and bears, keep a close eye on it.$BTC #比特币2026年价格预测
