Honestly, your analysis is correct but not precise because it bounced from 80k-81k and this is a trend support area, which is the reason Bitcoin bounced when it reached 74k a few months ago.

I posted this picture before Bitcoin dropped, and some people laughed at me. Honestly, my self-confidence was shaken when the price went up, and I deleted everything. But when I came back and saw the market again, I found it really dropping, and I respect my analysis. It is currently at 85k
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
#BTCVolatility