🎯 Bitcoin's Next Move: Three Scenarios I'm Watching on the 4-Hour Chart

Bitcoin is coiling up again—and the 4-hour timeframe is starting to flash some clear signals. Here's how I'm mapping out the next move, with entries, stops, and targets for each scenario.

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🟢 Scenario 1 – Breakout Long

If Bitcoin finally clears the resistance that's been holding it back, I'm looking at a momentum play.

Entry Zone: $72,200 – $73,000 (on a clean breakout and hold)

Stop Loss: $69,500

**Targets:**

🎯 $74,000

🎯 $76,500

🎯 $79,000

Why: Price reclaiming the EMA trend and breaking above recent resistance levels suggests buyers are gaining control. This is the aggressive play for when momentum confirms.

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🟡 Scenario 2 – Pullback Long (My Preference)

This is the safer entry with better risk-to-reward—waiting for price to come to us instead of chasing.

Entry Zone: $68,500 – $69,000 (EMA25/EMA99 support confluence)

Stop Loss: $66,500

**Targets:**

🎯 $71,500

🎯 $74,000

Why: Buying the retrace into strong moving average support gives you room to breathe. If Bitcoin respects these levels, the upside run could be sustainable.

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🔴 Scenario 3 – Rejection Short

Not every breakout works. If Bitcoin fails at resistance, there's a short opportunity.

Entry Zone: $72,000 – $73,000 (on clear rejection)

Stop Loss: $74,500

**Targets:**

🎯 $69,000

🎯 $66,500

Why: Multiple wicks or failed breaks at this level would signal sellers are still defending the range. Worth watching if momentum stalls.

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A few things I'm keeping in mind:

· Volume confirmation matters more than price alone. A breakout with weak volume? Probably fake.

· The 4-hour EMA alignment is tightening—that usually precedes a bigger move in either direction.

· $66,500 is the line in the sand. Lose that, and the bullish structure weakens significantly.

Which scenario are you watching? Let me know below. 👇

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