🚨 MARKET ALERT: A MAJOR RISK IS RETURNING FAST

The chances of a US government shutdown this week have surged dramatically — now close to 96%, compared to just about 18% last week.

This isn’t just political drama… it’s a serious liquidity threat for financial markets.

Democrats are refusing to approve the spending bill unless key conditions are accepted, including:

• Mandatory body cameras for immigration officers

• A ban on agents wearing masks during operations

• Stricter rules on home entry and an end to roaming patrols

Republicans are pushing back, emphasizing tougher immigration enforcement and defending current federal practices.

Here’s where things get more concerning:

The US debt ceiling has already been lifted to $41.1 trillion. That gives politicians more room to keep fighting without immediate system failure — which ironically increases the risk of a longer shutdown.

At the same time, economic signals are weakening:

Jobs data is softening, consumer spending is slowing, and corporate bankruptcies are rising.

So why does a shutdown hurt markets?

Because when a shutdown begins, the US Treasury typically rebuilds its cash balance (TGA) by pulling liquidity out of financial markets.

During the October shutdown, the TGA rose by roughly $220 billion — effectively draining that amount from the system and triggering a liquidity squeeze.

If another shutdown happens and lasts longer, the liquidity drain could be significantly larger… and far more damaging for markets.#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned