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After the deep adjustment, where to go — Bitcoin market analysis after February 2026
As of February 12, 2026, Bitcoin has significantly retraced more than 50% from its historical peak, with short-term volatility and a peak in bullish and bearish divergence. This article provides a clear judgment on the future market and key observation points from four dimensions: driving logic, technical support, capital sentiment, and institutional expectations.
1. The core reason for this round of sharp decline
1. Macroeconomic liquidity tightening: The Federal Reserve's policy expectations have shifted, leading to rising real interest rates. Bitcoin, as a high-risk asset, is the first to be affected, with funds shifting towards safe-haven assets like gold and cash.
2. Concentration of leveraged liquidations: In the short term, there have been liquidations amounting to tens of billions of dollars, with high-leverage funds being concentrated and cleared, exacerbating panic selling.
1. The core reason for this round of sharp decline
1. Macroeconomic liquidity tightening: The Federal Reserve's policy expectations have shifted, leading to rising real interest rates. Bitcoin, as a high-risk asset, is the first to be affected, with funds shifting towards safe-haven assets like gold and cash.
2. Concentration of leveraged liquidations: In the short term, there have been liquidations amounting to tens of billions of dollars, with high-leverage funds being concentrated and cleared, exacerbating panic selling.
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BTC
66,200.1
-1.07%