Brothers, the focus tonight is here, simply put the key points👇
🔥 1️⃣ Market Background
This morning, the US non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, employment is strong → Market interest rate cut expectations are postponed.
Simply understood:
👉 The Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to cut interest rates in the short term
👉 The US dollar is relatively strong
👉 Risk assets (including the crypto market) are under pressure
So the core of the market tonight is: digesting the impact of non-farm data + waiting for CPI data.
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⏰ 2️⃣ Key Times Tonight (Beijing Time)
• 21:00–22:30 Phase of fluctuation and brewing
• 22:30 US stock market opens (key observation)
• 1:00–3:00 Easy to find direction
If the Nasdaq is strong → BTC is likely to rise
If the Nasdaq is weak → The crypto market may continue to be under pressure
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📊 3️⃣ Market Logic Tonight
Currently, market sentiment is relatively cautious:
✔ Interest rate cut expectations are suppressed
✔ US dollar index is relatively strong
✔ Contract positions are relatively high
👉 Likely to see:
• Pin bar washout
• Chain liquidation
• False breakout market
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🚨 4️⃣ When will the real big volatility occur?
🔥 Tomorrow night at 21:30 (Beijing Time)
US CPI data release
CPI below expectations → Positive for the crypto market
CPI above expectations → May continue to pull back
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🎯 In summary
Tonight = Fluctuation + Testing direction
Tomorrow night = May determine the short-term trend
For those trading contracts, pay attention to position control, don’t get caught by pin bars.
Spot traders wait patiently for direction confirmation.
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