📈 Technical picture (general logic)
Trend: medium-term, BTC most often moves in cycles — impulse → accumulation → impulse.
EMA 50/200: if the price is above both — the structure is bullish. Below — pressure from sellers.
RSI: above 70 — overbought (correction likely), below 30 — oversold (bounce possible).
Volumes: growth on increased volume confirms the strength of the movement.
🔥 What is important to watch now
Liquidity levels — round numbers (for example 50k / 60k / 70k etc.).
Funding rate (if long is overheated — often gets liquidated).
Open interest (OI) — sharp increase = possible volatility.
🧠 Scenarios
Bullish: hold above key resistance → impulse breakout → retest → continuation.
Bearish: false breakout + falling volumes → drop below support → acceleration down.
What do you think is more likely?