🚨🇺🇸 US JOBLESS CLAIMS JUST DROPPED — BUT HERE’S THE REAL STORY…
Initial Jobless Claims: 227,000
Forecast: 222,000
Slightly higher than expected… but not a crisis.
📊 Analysts say claims are still in a historically healthy range
❄️ Recent spike partly blamed on severe winter storms
💼 January Jobs Added: 130,000
📉 Unemployment: 4.3% (labor market still stable)
And here’s the big one 👇
🏦 CME FedWatch now shows a 94.1% probability the Fed HOLDS rates steady on March 18.
No cut.
No hike.
Just pause.
So what does this mean for markets?
👉 Strong labor = Fed doesn’t rush to cut
👉 Rate pause = Liquidity expectations stay balanced
👉 Crypto & stocks may stay range-bound until clearer signals
The real move will come when labor CRACKS… or inflation spikes again.
Until then?
Volatility traders win.
Are you positioning for:
📈 Risk-on breakout
or
📉 Delayed rate cuts dump?
Drop your bias below 👇🔥