💥 BREAKING MACRO UPDATE
🇺🇸 US Initial Jobless Claims Actual: 227K
Expected: 222K
A miss.
On the surface, it signals a softening labor market.
But in this liquidity-driven regime, markets don’t just watch the economy — they watch the Federal Reserve’s reaction function.
📉 Weak labor data = pressure on growth
📊 Pressure on growth = higher odds of policy easing
In today’s cycle, bad news can quickly become good news.
A cooling labor market increases the probability that the Fed shifts away from restrictive policy and toward easing.
Lower rates → More liquidity
More liquidity → Higher risk appetite
Higher risk appetite → Tailwind for risk assets
The real question isn’t “Is the economy slowing?”
The real question is: How will the Fed respond?
When the labor market cracks, the pivot narrative strengthens.
Markets trade liquidity.
Liquidity drives momentum.
Are we witnessing early signs of the next policy shift?
#CryptoMarkets #Bitcoin #Macro #Liquidity
