US YIELDS EXPLODING. Fed on the ropes.
The long-end US Treasury yield is holding steady now but brace for liftoff later this year. Inflation fears and Fed independence concerns are mounting. Short-end yields will dip slightly on rate cut hopes. However, massive Treasury issuance is capping the Fed's ability to shrink its $6.6 trillion balance sheet. Strategists see limited Fed balance sheet reduction. Expect two rate cuts this year, starting in June. The 2-year yield is set to fall to 3.45% by April and 3.38% by July. The 10-year yield is projected to hit 4.29% in a year.
Not financial advice.