TLDR

  • Vertiv reported Q4 earnings of $1.14 per share, below the $1.30 consensus, but shares jumped 23% on strong guidance.

  • The company’s order backlog reached $15 billion after organic orders surged 252% year-over-year in Q4.

  • 2026 revenue guidance of $13.25-$13.75 billion exceeded Wall Street’s $12.39 billion estimate by over 10%.

  • Vertiv forecasts 2026 EPS of $5.97-$6.07, well above the analyst consensus of $5.33.

  • The stock has gained 79% over the past year and carries a Strong Buy rating from analysts.

Vertiv shares climbed 23% Tuesday after the company reported Q4 results that missed estimates but paired them with guidance that crushed expectations. The data center infrastructure provider posted earnings of $1.14 per share, falling short of the $1.30 analyst target. Revenue came in at $2.88 billion versus the $2.89 billion consensus.

$VRT Q4 EARNINGS

• Revenue $2.88B vs Est. $2.89B
• EPS $1.14 vs Est. $1.30
• Backlog $15B (+109% YoY)

FY26 Guidance
• Revenue $13.5B vs Est. $12.4B
• EPS $6.02 vs Est. $5.33 pic.twitter.com/Bu4wovzHOP

— Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) February 11, 2026

The Q4 miss didn’t matter to investors. They zeroed in on the company’s future outlook and explosive order growth.

Vertiv announced organic orders grew 252% compared to the prior year period. That tripling of orders pushed the company’s backlog to a record $15 billion, providing revenue visibility through 2027.

CEO Giordano Albertazzi said the results demonstrate Vertiv’s leadership position in an increasingly complex data center market. He pointed to strong demand for AI infrastructure as the key driver behind the company’s ability to raise guidance.

Record Guidance Tops Estimates

The 2026 outlook became the focal point of Tuesday’s report. Vertiv expects revenue between $13.25 billion and $13.75 billion for the full year. Analysts were modeling $12.39 billion, creating a gap of roughly $1.4 billion.

That’s one of the larger guidance beats seen in recent earnings seasons. It suggests pricing power and market share gains in critical infrastructure.

On earnings, Vertiv projects $5.97 to $6.07 per share for 2026. The Street was expecting $5.33, making this a 12% beat at the midpoint.

Q1 guidance came in mostly in line with expectations. The company sees revenue of $2.50 billion to $2.70 billion versus the $2.56 billion consensus. Q1 EPS is expected between $0.95 and $1.01 compared to the $0.96 estimate.

Vertiv has now beaten EPS estimates for four straight quarters. It has also exceeded revenue projections in each of those periods, building credibility with institutional investors.

Analyst Outlook Remains Strong

Wall Street continues to back VRT stock. The company holds a Strong Buy consensus rating with 15 Buy recommendations, two Hold ratings, and zero Sell ratings.

The average analyst price target sits at $208.89. That’s slightly below where shares traded following the earnings surge, suggesting price targets may need updating.

Vertiv recorded 17 upward EPS revisions and zero downward revisions over the past 90 days. That momentum in estimate changes typically precedes continued stock outperformance.

The stock closed at $199.62 on Monday before today’s rally. Shares have climbed 16.76% over the past three months and 79% over the past year.

Year-to-date performance now exceeds 23% following Tuesday’s post-earnings jump. That compares favorably to the S&P 500’s 1.4% gain over the same timeframe.

InvestingPro rates Vertiv’s financial health as “great performance” based on balance sheet strength and operational metrics.

Vertiv’s Q1 2026 guidance targets revenue of $2.50 billion to $2.70 billion with EPS between $0.95 and $1.01.

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