Bitcoin News: 10X Research: Bitcoin Reenters Liquidity Trap Zone,
Reversal Possible After $60K Gamma Clears
Bitcoin’s recent pullback has pushed the market back into a structural liquidity gap created during last year’s post-election rally, setting the stage for a potential reversal once derivatives pressure eases, according to 10X Research.
Speaking at Consensus Hong Kong, Markus Thielen said Bitcoin’s sharp advance following the November 2024 U.S. election left behind a “liquidity vacuum” that is now influencing downside price action.
“After the November 2024 election, Bitcoin surged from $70,000 to $90,000 in just 10 to 12 days,” Thielen said. “Trading activity during this process was very sparse, creating a huge gap — a liquidity vacuum zone.”
Liquidity gap amplifies downside moves
According to Thielen, when Bitcoin later fell back to around $87,000, prices entered this thinly traded zone, increasing vulnerability to sharp declines.
The sell-off intensified near $75,000, where derivatives positioning added further pressure.
“At the $75,000 level, a large amount of negative option gamma appeared,” he said.
“That forced market makers to hedge by continuously selling futures.”
Negative gamma conditions typically compel dealers to sell into falling prices, amplifying downside volatility and accelerating declines.
$60K seen as key inflection point
Thielen said the most recent leg lower toward $60,000 reflects the final phase of this gamma-driven adjustment.
Once that pressure is absorbed, market dynamics could shift.
“As the last wave of negative gamma impact is digested at $60,000, the market situation may reverse,” he said.
The analysis suggests that Bitcoin’s recent weakness may be more structural than sentiment-driven, tied to prior liquidity conditions and derivatives positioning rather than a fresh deterioration in fundamentals.
If gamma effects fade as expected, 10X Research sees scope for stabilization or a rebound from current levels.
DYOR
