Friends, BTC reached an ATH of $126,198 in October 2025, and is now at $67K. 47% down. Whale dumped $172M. The market is now directionless. I am describing the exact situation.
📉 Current Market Snapshot (12 Feb 2026)
Bitcoin Price: ~$67,565
All-Time High: $126,198 (6 October 2025)
Drawdown from ATH: -47%
24h Change: -0.26% (sideways)
Reality Check:
BTC is 47% down from its ATH of $126,198
$2.6 billion capital has exited in the last 30 days
Whale recently dumped $172 million BTC
ETF outflows: $434 million (BTC), $80 million (ETH)
Source: Galaxy Research, Pintu News, Coinbase
🔴 Bearish Signals (Why It Could Fall)
1. No Strong Support
No solid support below $67K. If this breaks:
$60K → Next psychological support
$54K-$57K → Worst case scenario (Galaxy Research forecast)
2. Institutional Outflows
Withdrawing $434 million from Spot BTC ETFs
Withdrawing $80 million from Spot ETH ETFs
3. RSI Oversold
RSI is below 30. Historically, a bounce occurs, but timing is uncertain.
🟢 Bullish Hope (Why It Could Pump)
1. Oversold Bounce Possible
RSI below 30 = historically a buying opportunity
2. Fed Rate Cut Expectations
Probability of rate cut in March 2026 is 19-21%
3. Bitcoin Dominance High
56.81% dominance = Altcoin season is not here yet. BTC is still king.
💡 My Personal Game Plan
| Scenario | Price Level | My Action |
Extreme Fear | Below $60K | Heavy DCA start
Accumulation Zone | $60K-$67K | Slow buying
Wait & Watch | $67K-$75K | Nothing breaking out | Above $75K | Conviction buy
🔥 Altcoin Update
XRP: Strong ETF inflows ($1.3B total), supply squeeze
ETH: At $1,950, it seems undervalued
SOL: At $142, active addresses are 27 million (record high)
⚠️ Risk Management
Golden Rules:
1. Never all-in - Always keep a 20% cash reserve
2. DCA - Don't invest lump sums
3. Stop losses - Define for every trade
4. No leverage - In this market, leverage = loss of your entire capital
🎯 Bottom Line
Bitcoin is in "no man's land" at $67K.
Bullish: If it breaks $75K, $100K+ possible
Bearish: If it breaks $60K, $54K-$57K possible
Most likely: Sideways $60K-$75K
Personally: I'm doing small DCA in the $65K-$67K zone.
What do you think? Let me know in the comments:
🚀 Bullish ($75K+ soon)
🐻 Bearish ($60K-)
😐 Sideways
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Disclaimer: This is only educational content. Crypto is highly volatile. Do your research.
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