🇺🇸 The U.S. faces its third government shutdown within six months: Department of Homeland Security in crisis, what impact does it have on Bitcoin?
Washington's political arena is once again in a deadlock. On February 13, the temporary funding bill for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is set to expire. If the two parties cannot reach a consensus, the department and its subordinate agencies will face a shutdown.
Core overview:
Controversial focus: The Democrats demand cuts and reforms to the powers of the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE); the Republicans (from the White House) insist on maintaining the current budget and refuse to make significant concessions. Frequent occurrences: This could be the third shutdown in the past six months. Similar crises previously occurred in the fall of 2025 (lasting 43 days) and at the end of January 2026 (lasting 4 days). Deadline: February 13 (Friday). Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer has made it clear that if reform demands are not met, he will block the funding extension.
📊 Market views and strategy analysis:
Although a “government shutdown” sounds serious, its actual impact on the crypto market may be limited:
Scope limited: This shutdown primarily targets the DHS and its subordinate agencies (such as Customs and Border Protection). Most other government departments’ budgets have already been approved, so there will not be a nationwide administrative paralysis. Market immunity: Investors have developed aesthetic fatigue towards this kind of “political drama.” Based on historical data, short-term localized shutdowns are unlikely to cause sustained negative impacts on BTC or the S&P 500 index. Potential impact: Political deadlock may lead to a short-term weakening of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). If the dollar is under pressure, it may actually form localized support for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Summary: Market volatility may increase on Friday evening (Eastern Time). This is more of a political game rather than a systemic financial crisis. For investors, it is important to pay attention to the fluctuations in risk-averse sentiment on Friday, but there is no need to panic excessively.
Continuously monitor the latest developments in the Senate!🕒
