📉 Bitcoin vs Stock Market: A Rare "Bearish" Divergence?
A peculiar paradox is emerging between the cryptocurrency market and Wall Street. While analysts capture the strongest bearish signals for Bitcoin since 2022, American investors' sentiment towards the stock market has reached a peak not seen in recent years. Let's take a closer look. 👇
🐻 2022 Bearish Signals "Echo"
According to analysts, Bitcoin displayed its strongest bearish signal since early 2022 in February 2026. The main pressure factors include:
Loss of Momentum: In the 83 days since falling below the 365-day moving average (MA) in November, BTC has dropped 23%—a drop more severe than the same period in 2022. Tightening Liquidity: Experts from CryptoQuant point out that weak demand coexists with shrinking stablecoin liquidity, which is a typical sign of a long-term bear market phase. Market Predictions: Some strategists do not rule out the possibility that the market may bottom out only by the third quarter of 2026.
🚀 American Investors Optimistic About the S&P 500 Index
In stark contrast to the anxiety in the crypto market, the latest Gallup poll (conducted from January 2 to 17, 2026) shows a surge in stock market optimism:
50% of Americans expect the stock market to continue rising over the next six months. This is the second highest point since 2020 (only behind the historic record of 61% in early 2025). Despite concerns about inflation and unemployment, only 25% of respondents expect the stock market to decline.
🤔 Why is this happening?
In the past, cryptocurrencies and the stock market often resonated in sync, but now the trajectories of both have diverged. The stock market is supported by expectations of corporate earnings and economic stability, while Bitcoin is undergoing a painful repricing phase after experiencing a peak in 2025.
What do you think? Is this just a temporary decoupling, or is it a "cooling-off period" that Bitcoin must undergo before its next leap? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 👇
