📍#BTC Dingding Technical Analysis Report 2026/02/12

【Core Viewpoint】: Short-term bull trap, long-term bottomless pit; rebounds are just payday for the bears.

Although Bitcoin has shown a slight consolidation and rebound signal in the short term, don't be blinded by these small gains. The daily and 4-hour charts are still firmly under the bearish structure, and the resistance zone above is thicker than a city wall.

📊 Long-term trend: Major bearish (1D level)

Current situation interpretation: The closing price still failed to recover above the moving average band, and the continued decline structure in the weak zone is very complete. The bulls have no power to fight back; this is a downhill train with failed brakes.

【1D Swing Trading Strategy】

• Key Operation: If the price retraces to the resistance level and fails to break through, short with a heavy position.

• Defense/Long/Short Dividing Line: 92,537.09

🛑 Short Position Setup:

• Short on Rebound (Pending Order): 84,128.49 (Suggested capital: 60% patient pending order + 40% chasing price)

• Break Below (Chasing Price): Break below 70,332.50

• Stop Loss (SL): 92,537.09

• Take Profit Target (TP): 61,923.90

📊 Medium-Term Trend: Medium-term downtrend (4H timeframe)

Current Situation Interpretation: The price is being suppressed by the key price level above, and the rebound momentum is extremely weak. This is not a bottoming process; it is a continuation of the downtrend, and a break below the bottom is imminent.

【4H Swing Trading Strategy】

• Key Operation: Enter immediately if the rebound fails.

• Defense/Bull/Bear Dividing Line: 79,793.59

🛑 Short Position Setup:

• Sell on Rebound (Pending Order): 69,896.79 (Suggested allocation: 60% patient pending order + 40% chasing price)

• Break Below (Chasing Price): Break below 60,433.59

• Take Profit Target (TP): 50,536.79

📊 Short-Term Trend: Consolidation (1H Level)

Current Situation Interpretation: A short-term rebound signal has appeared, but the resistance above is dense. This is just the main force "baiting" to lure retail investors in before wiping them out.

【1H Swing Trading Strategy】

• Key Operation: Use short-term rebounds to find highs and short positions.

• Defense/Long/Short Threshold: 70,914.01

🛑 Short Position Setup:

• Short on Rebound (Pending Order): 68,998.27 (Suggested capital: 60% patiently placed orders + 40% chasing the price)

• Break Below (Chasing the Price): Break below 65,461.39

• Stop Loss (SL): 70,914.01

• Take Profit Target (TP): 63,840.25

📝 Summary and Trading Suggestions: A long-term downtrend followed by short-term consolidation makes this the easiest time to lose money. Long positions should refrain from trying to catch rebounds; short positions should patiently wait for the price to pull back to the resistance level (around 68K-69K), which is an excellent entry point.