$BIRB 📈 BIAS: LONG

Why I’m Taking This Trade

Negative funding for seven consecutive periods. Shorts are paying to stay short while price refuses to break the 24h low at 0.20500. That’s not weakness — it’s accumulation.

🧠 Higher Timeframe Context (4H)

4H trend is bearish — I’m not calling a reversal. But momentum is slowing: MACD histogram is curling up from extreme lows, RSI made a higher low at 23 while price made a lower low. Bullish divergence on the HTF. Funding has been negative for 30+ hours — shorts are exhausted and trapped.

⏳ Lower Timeframe Execution (15m)

Supertrend still overhead at 0.2090 — I’m not buying a breakout. I’m buying the absorption. Volume collapsed from 21M → 707. StochRSI washed out to 0.00 twice, now recovering. The 200k bid wall at 0.206 is real — smart money is defending.

🔥 Entry Zone: 0.20580 – 0.20620

I want to enter inside the bid cluster, not chase. If price retests the 24h low and holds, that’s my trigger.

🛑 Stop Loss: 0.20470

Below yesterday’s sweep low and the visible 24h low. If price reclaims that liquidity and fails, my thesis is invalid. Clean.

🎯 Take Profit Levels

TP1: 0.20920 (Supertrend magnet + first ask wall)

TP2: 0.21350 (EMA 50 on 15m + overhead supply)

TP3: 0.21950 (prior 4H support turned resistance)

📊 R:R: 1 : 3.4 (0.20600 entry, 0.20470 stop, TP2)

⚠️ Invalidation

4H candle closes below 0.20450. That traps me. Until then, this is a high‑probability squeeze setup.

💣 Psychology

Retail sees -13% and shorts the breakdown. They’re now paying funding, pinned below value, staring at a 24h low that won’t break. Smart money sees negative funding + volume drought + bullish divergence and loads the bounce. The moment price lifts, those shorts cover into my entries.

This isn’t hope. This is structural edge. 🔥