📅 12 February 2026 | Gold Market Outlook – Next 12 Months
Gold's role in the next 12 months will not be limited to just a traditional safe-haven, but will evolve as a multi-dimensional asset. 🌍
1️⃣ Monetary Policy Shift: If major central banks move towards gradual rate cuts, real yields may come under pressure — which will be a supportive factor for gold.
2️⃣ Inflation vs Disinflation Narrative: Sticky inflation or unexpected price shocks may keep gold strong as a hedge. However, volatility may increase in a rapid disinflation scenario.
3️⃣ Geopolitical Risk Premium: Ongoing global tensions and trade fragmentation may give gold a higher weight in strategic allocation. 🛡️
4️⃣ Central Bank Accumulation: There is a possibility that demand for diversification from emerging markets will continue, creating long-term structural support.
5️⃣ Dollar & Liquidity Cycles: If the dollar softens and global liquidity expands, gold momentum may accelerate. However, strong dollar phases can bring short-term corrections.
6️⃣ Institutional Positioning: Exposure from ETFs and hedge funds will create tactical swings, while long-term investors will maintain gold as a portfolio hedge.
📊 Strategic View:
In the next 12 months, gold's role is likely to shift from a defensive asset to becoming a “macro hedge + diversification anchor.” There may be consolidation in risk-on phases, but macro uncertainty will keep gold structurally relevant.
