$LQTY 📈 BIAS: LONG

Why I’m Looking Here

This isn’t “bottom fishing” — it’s structured reversal confirmation.

Price just broke above the 10/3 Supertrend for the first time in 48 hours.

Volume is dried up to 4k from 4M — sellers exhausted.

Funding just turned negative for three straight periods — shorts are now paying to stay short. That’s a squeeze waiting to fire.

🧠 Higher Timeframe Context (4H)

4H is still bearish, yes. But we’re not calling a trend change.

We’re trading a relief rally off extreme conditions.

The 4H RSI was sub‑30, MACD histogram is curling up.

Massive bid wall at 0.2800 (200k+) — HTF buyers are parked.

Negative funding + price basing = fuel for a snapback.

⏳ Lower Timeframe Execution (15m)

Supertrend flipped bullish at 0.2855.

EMA 9/15 just crossed above EMA 50.

StochRSI washed out to 6.5, now recovering.

This is the first higher low in days — I respect it.

🔥 Entry Zone: 0.2870 – 0.2880

A retest of the breakout level + EMA 9/15 confluent support.

I wait for price to pull back into value, not chase.

🛑 Stop Loss: 0.2845

Below the flipped Supertrend and today’s consolidation low.

If price reclaims below 0.2850, the breakout is fake. I’m out.

🎯 Take Profit Levels

TP1: 0.2940 (1h Supertrend + overhead supply)

TP2: 0.3000 (psychological round + 200 EMA on 15m)

TP3: 0.3100 (previous 4H support turned resistance)

📊 R:R: 1 : 3.1 (using 0.2875 avg entry)

⚠️ Invalidation

4H candle closes below 0.2840. That traps me.

Until then, this is a high‑probability long in a vacuum of sellers.

💣 Psychology

Retail sees -20% and shorts into despair.

They’re paying funding, pinned below value.

Smart money sees exhaustion + negative funding + volume drought and loads the bounce.

The moment price lifts, those shorts cover into my longs.

This isn’t hope — it’s structural edge. 🔥