Date: February 12, 2026
The "January Blues" have extended into February for Bitcoin. After the historic run toward $130k in late 2025, BTC is now trading in a precarious zone. Here is the technical breakdown every Binance trader needs to see.
๐ The Breakdown: Support & Resistance
Bitcoin has officially slipped below the 200-week EMA ($68,000) for the first time in this cycle. Historically, this level acts as the ultimate "bull/bear" pivot.
Current Support: $60,000 โ $62,000. This is the "October 2024 Floor" where long-term holders (LTH) have their highest cost-basis concentration.
Next Bear Target: If $60k fails, the Fibonacci extension points to $52,000 as the "Max Pain" zone.
Resistance: $74,000 (Short-term) and $82,000 (Major). We need a daily close above $74k to invalidate the current bearish structure.
๐ณ On-Chain Insight: Whales are Buying the Fear
While retail sentiment is in "Extreme Fear," the big players are doing the opposite:
Whale Inflows: Wallets holding >1,000 BTC added over 53,000 coins ($3.6B+) last week alone.
Institutional Shift: Standard Chartered just launched spot BTC trading in the UK, and BNY Mellon recently highlighted the maturation of "crypto plumbing" at the BoA Conference.
๐๏ธ The Macro Trigger
The current sell-off is largely driven by a hawkish shift in U.S. Fed expectations following Kevin Warshโs nomination. Markets are pricing in "tighter liquidity" for the first half of 2026, forcing BTC to trade more like a high-beta tech asset than a hedge.
๐ก Final Word: This isn't the end of the bull run; it's a structural reset. Watch the $60k level closely.
#BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #BinanceSquare #BitcoinPrediction #WhaleAlert
๐ฑ Micro-Post (For quick engagement)
Is the $60k Floor Liquid Enough? ๐งฑ
BTC is currently testing $66,000, and the "200-week EMA" at $68k has flipped from support to resistance. ๐
The Good News: Whales just bought the biggest dip since November (53k BTC added to large wallets! ๐).
The Bad News: Fed hawkishness is keeping a lid on the "Risk-On" sentiment for now.
My Plan:
1๏ธโฃ Keeping cash ready for the $60k-$62k zone.
2๏ธโฃ Not FOMO-ing unless we reclaim $74k with volume.
What are you doing?
๐ด Selling/Shorting
๐ข Buying the Dipo
โช Just Watching
Let me know below! ๐
#BTC #Crypto #Binance #Trading
