Post
ZY为自由
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This broken market! BTC will either rebound and break 73,000, or retest the bottom at 58,000!
From 119,000 halved to 60,000, some say the bull market is dead, while others say it's a golden pit to buy the dip, I directly hit my face with data!
📉 Current situation: Oversold but funds are not buying in
• Current price ≈ 67,000, weekly drop 8.2%, maximum drawdown 52%
• Fear and Greed Index 7 (Extreme Fear), typical oversold
• ETFs continue to flow out, leverage is still being reduced, rebounds are all “false moves”
⚔️ Battle between bulls and bears, only two paths
✅ Bullish survival
Stabilize at 65,000 → rebound to 70,000–73,500
Break through 73,500, open up repair space of 78,000–83,000
Whales replenish, miner costs support the bottom, can't fall further
❌ Bearish deadlock
Break below 65,000 → directly rush to 58,000
If it breaks 58,000 again, go to 52,000–55,000 for a second bottom retest
ETF outflow + macro tightening, selling pressure hasn't stopped
💡 My conclusion
Short-term deep drop rebound ≠ reversal, it's just a fluctuation to build a bottom!
Mid-term 58,000 is the life and death line, breaking it means turning bearish completely
Long-term halving logic is still there, but it will take a long time to grind the bottom
⚠️ Direct operation
• Lightly position to test long, stop loss if breaking 65,000
• Reduce positions in batches above 70,000, don’t fall in love with the battle
• Before stabilizing, don’t go all in to buy the dip
Are you on the bull or bear side? Line up in the comments!
#比特币走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
From 119,000 halved to 60,000, some say the bull market is dead, while others say it's a golden pit to buy the dip, I directly hit my face with data!
📉 Current situation: Oversold but funds are not buying in
• Current price ≈ 67,000, weekly drop 8.2%, maximum drawdown 52%
• Fear and Greed Index 7 (Extreme Fear), typical oversold
• ETFs continue to flow out, leverage is still being reduced, rebounds are all “false moves”
⚔️ Battle between bulls and bears, only two paths
✅ Bullish survival
Stabilize at 65,000 → rebound to 70,000–73,500
Break through 73,500, open up repair space of 78,000–83,000
Whales replenish, miner costs support the bottom, can't fall further
❌ Bearish deadlock
Break below 65,000 → directly rush to 58,000
If it breaks 58,000 again, go to 52,000–55,000 for a second bottom retest
ETF outflow + macro tightening, selling pressure hasn't stopped
💡 My conclusion
Short-term deep drop rebound ≠ reversal, it's just a fluctuation to build a bottom!
Mid-term 58,000 is the life and death line, breaking it means turning bearish completely
Long-term halving logic is still there, but it will take a long time to grind the bottom
⚠️ Direct operation
• Lightly position to test long, stop loss if breaking 65,000
• Reduce positions in batches above 70,000, don’t fall in love with the battle
• Before stabilizing, don’t go all in to buy the dip
Are you on the bull or bear side? Line up in the comments!
#比特币走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
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