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【The Federal Reserve's nuclear button will be handed over! Countdown to June interest rate cut storm】
The Powell era is entering the countdown, and Waller is about to take the wheel of the Federal Reserve! A Reuters survey ignites the market: as soon as the new chairman takes office, there may be a direct press of the interest rate cut button in June.
🔄 But the biggest suspense is: is Waller a hawk or a dove?
Looking back at the past—he was part of the rate hike camp. But recently, the narrative has changed, as he publicly praises AI for boosting productivity and curbing inflation, which is interpreted as paving the way for interest rate cuts. The market is confused: is this a real shift, or just a smokescreen from a new official?
📉 The data simply doesn't support an interest rate cut:
Inflation is still high, the unemployment rate is as stable as a straight line, and economic growth expectations have even been raised to 2.4%. Bank of America exclaims: government spending + monetary easing, is this going to lead to policy overheating?
🔥 Even more explosive is the backlash:
70% of economists warn: the independence of the Federal Reserve is being torn open. The White House is personally selecting people and pressuring for interest rate cuts, a script we haven't seen before.
On one side is a restless market betting, on the other is the shaky credibility of the central bank. If the interest rate is really cut in June, is it to hedge against recession or to ignite the next wave of inflation?
👇 Cut rates or not? Place your bets in the comments section!