Live broadcasting, follow along 🧧🧧🧧🧧#美国伊朗对峙 $BTC

Teacher Qingshan's sharing today:

1. The US military is considering seizing Iranian oil tankers — this is not an exercise, but an option already discussed internally at the White House. More than 20 ships carrying Iranian oil have been listed for sanctions this year, all of which can be seized.

2. Iran's retaliation menu: seizing oil tankers of US allies, laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, and saturating missile strikes on US military bases. Any one of these would skyrocket oil prices.

3. Trump is discussing the second aircraft carrier. Adding guns at the negotiating table is the art of pressure that allows for both offense and defense.

4. The Emir of Qatar called Trump overnight, with just one theme: de-escalation. Regional countries are more afraid of war than the US.

5. However, experts predict a cold reality: the probability of negotiation breakdown is extremely high. The US demands are a “zero nuclear” deal + disarmament of missiles + resolution of the proxy issue all at once, while Iran only discusses nuclear issues; the other two are the bottom line of the 43-year revolution. There is no room for compromise in between.

6. An advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader just stated: any military attack, even if limited in scale, will be seen as the start of war. The conflict will not be limited to the two parties involved.

7. The scale of US military supplies is described by foreign media as “beyond the Gulf War preparation period.” This is not a configuration that ends after one shot; it is setting the stage for high-intensity, long-term conflicts.

8. Only one thing to say about the crypto circle: when the Strait of Hormuz sounds, oil prices will surge to 100, inflation expectations will take off again, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut window will narrow. Risk-averse sentiment will first push gold, while Bitcoin is caught between the narrative of “digital gold” and the attributes of risky assets, with direction determined by liquidity.

9. My strategy: do not bet on the direction of geopolitical risks. Buy options in a straddle, or simply reduce positions until signals materialize. In such a situation, only those who survive have the right to explain.

The live broadcast has started, available from afternoon to midnight.

Tonight, I will sort out the timeline of military forces and oil tanker covert operations in the Persian Gulf.

When to hedge, when to bet on rebounds, when to back down.

If you come late, there are no recordings.