Most traders right now expect BTC to drop back into the 3x range. It sounds logical — but markets rarely reward the majority’s expectations. We’ve seen this movie before. In the last cycle, everyone waited for 100k to exit. Price only bounced near 97k… then collapsed. The ones who survived weren’t the best guessers — they were the ones reacting to price, not fantasies.
I’m not saying BTC can’t revisit 3x. But if a deep pullback happens, the 5x zone already looks like a level where the market could react hard. Crypto doesn’t move to please crowds — it moves to exhaust them.
The lesson isn’t predicting an exact bottom.
It’s discipline:
• Don’t anchor your life to one magic number
• Don’t blindly follow social noise
• Watch price action, not opinions
• Protect capital first
Long-term survivors aren’t bottom callers — they’re risk managers.
For now: slow down, observe, and staying liquid can be smarter than rushing to catch a falling knife. Market structure will tell the next story when it’s ready.
