Over the past few days, I’ve seen many people starting to believe that $BTC will drop back into the 3x range.
It sounds logical. It even feels reasonable.
But the truth is — we’ve seen this story before.
Let me remind you of something from the previous cycle.
When BTC was falling back then, the majority of traders were waiting for one specific level to exit: 100K.
Everyone was confident. Everyone was certain.
“It has to reach 100K — then I’ll sell.”
But what actually happened?
Bitcoin only recovered to around 97K… and then it completely broke down.
The market didn’t care about that beautiful round number.
Only a small group — the ones who focused on price action and not emotions — managed to exit safely.
They didn’t fall in love with a number. They followed structure.
Now let’s come back to the present.
I’m not saying $BTC cannot drop into the 3x range. Anything is possible in this market.
But from my personal view, if we see a deeper correction, the 5x zone would already be a strong area for a serious reaction.
The market has no responsibility to move where the majority expects.
In fact, it usually moves in the direction that frustrates most people and makes them lose patience.
The key lesson here is not:
“BTC will definitely go to X level.”
The real lesson is:
Don’t try to predict the exact bottom.
Don’t let one fixed number control your decisions.
Watch price action — not social media opinions.
The traders who survive long term are not the best predictors.
They are the best at managing risk and protecting capital.
Right now, my approach is simple:
Slow down.
Observe carefully.
Holding cash is better than blindly trying to catch a falling knife.
I will update my view if market structure changes.
For now, patience is a position.
—
I only share my general perspective publicly.
The deeper structural analysis stays private.
#Bitcoin #BTC #cryptotrading #CryptoMarket #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinPrice
