🚨 BITCOIN, what price range for the end of the bear market? ‼️
👉In today's analysis, I'm going to hypothesize the end of a cyclical bear market in terms of price. To do this, I'll use technical analysis of the financial markets and project the low point of the 2022 cyclical bear market onto the current cyclical bear market. Indeed, BTC bear markets all have an identical structure: a three-phase pattern, and generally, the third phase is a typical projection of the first phase (waves labeled A, B, and C).
Therefore, projecting the 2022 bear market onto the current bear market gives us a potential low point zone around $55,000-$60,000.
⚠️This price zone isn't chosen randomly and is based on several major technical confluences. First, it corresponds to a proportional extension of wave C relative to wave A, according to ratios frequently observed in cyclical correction phases of Bitcoin. Historically, BTC bear markets rarely end in extreme excess, but rather in an area where selling pressure gradually fades, giving way to a phase of lateral stabilization.
Furthermore, this $55,000/$60,000 zone also corresponds to a horizontal support zone stemming from previous major highs. In technical analysis, the principle of polarity is fundamental: a major resistance level broken during a bull market often becomes a key support level in the following cycle. This level has already played a central role in the previous market structure, thus reinforcing its credibility as an area of potential demand.
‼️Moreover, the long-term (200-week) moving average, currently trending upward, is gradually converging towards this price zone. In previous cycles, the bottom of the bear market has regularly formed near this average, indicating a return of the price to its long-term equilibrium value rather than a structural collapse.
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