TRON is at a critical level right now.
The $0.26 to $0.27 demand zone is being tested. Again.
This is the same area that has held as support since 2023. It's where the last higher low was formed. The cost basis heatmap shows a dense cluster of buyers right here .
So the question is simple. How long can the bulls defend this level?
Let's look at the weekly chart first.
The long term structure is still bullish. Higher lows since 2023. The trend line is intact. But here's the problem. Momentum is fading. The weekly RSI is down to 43. The OBV has been flat since the second half of 2025 . Buyers are not stepping up with conviction. They are just defending.
Now look at the daily chart.
This is where the picture gets worse. TRX broke below $0.27 on February 5th. That flipped the short term structure bearish. The bounce since then has been weak. It barely filled the imbalance from the breakdown day. That is not a sign of strength .
Remember the December rally to $0.32? That move started from this same $0.27 level. It looked like a recovery. But it was fully retraced. Buyers could not hold it.
So what happens now?
The $0.26 to $0.27 zone is the line in the sand. If bulls hold it, the higher timeframe trend stays alive. A bounce back toward $0.29 and $0.30 becomes possible. Some analysts are targeting $0.32 to $0.35 in the coming weeks if support holds .
But if this level breaks with conviction, the next stop is $0.245. Maybe lower.
Open interest is declining steadily in February. Speculators are stepping back. Leverage is coming out of the market. That usually means less fuel for a sharp reversal .
The fundamentals are still strong. TRON is the go to settlement layer for stablecoins. High speed. Low fees. Real utility. But fundamentals don't always protect price in the short term.
And there is another variable. Bitcoin.
If BTC continues lower toward $60,000 to fill that weekly wick, most altcoins will follow. TRX will not be immune .
So what should traders do right now?
Stay sidelined. This is not a clear buy setup yet. The market trend is not showing recovery. Wait for either a strong bounce with volume off this support, or a clean breakdown to lower levels where better risk reward appears.
The $0.26 zone has held for years. But every defense gets harder.
Watch this level closely. How the bulls respond here will tell us everything about where TRX goes next.
