The Federal Reserve's "hawkish tone": Two officials warn that interest rate cuts are not urgent and may even raise rates further!

The statements from the two officials may reinforce market expectations for "Higher for Longer" regarding interest rates, and the probability of rate cuts in the short term may further decrease.

Future inflation (especially core PCE) and employment reports (unemployment rate, non-farm payroll growth) will become key signals for a policy shift.

If the labor market shows unexpected weakness, the Federal Reserve may quickly shift to rate cuts, but current officials prefer to prioritize ensuring inflation falls back to the 2% target.

Overall, the Federal Reserve is trying to seek a balance between curbing inflation and maintaining stability in the labor market, and future policy direction will heavily depend on economic data performance. As investors, we need to closely monitor changes in key indicators such as inflation, employment, and wage growth.

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