📊Federal Reserve Latest Updates|The Crypto Market Under Short-Term Pressure, Non-Farm Payrolls as a Key Turning Point
🔥🔥Today's Core News from the Federal Reserve: Two members of the FOMC voting committee for 2026 have consecutively adopted a hawkish stance, clearly stating that they will maintain interest rates at 3.5%-3.75% for an extended period, and will only consider rate cuts if the labor market significantly weakens. According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of a rate cut in March is only 19.6%, and the market's expectations for easing have completely cooled down. Delayed January non-farm payroll data will be released tonight at 21:30, which is a core indicator of the short-term policy direction.
For the crypto market, a strong dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields put short-term pressure on BTC, with funds flowing back to stablecoins, while altcoins generally decline, and leading cryptocurrencies show relative resilience. The persistently high interest rate environment continues to suppress the valuation of risk assets, compounded by regulatory and policy uncertainties, leading to significant short-term volatility.
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My personal view: Maintain strict control over positions in the short term, avoid mid and small-cap cryptocurrencies, and focus on leading assets; closely watch the non-farm payrolls and subsequent CPI data, as these are key signals for a shift in Federal Reserve policy and also critical nodes for sentiment recovery in the crypto space. Approach volatility rationally, avoid chasing prices up and down, and patiently wait for clear turning points.


