There’s something important to understand. Moat people throw around the word “everyone” to sound insightful, like they’re outsmarting the crowd by second guessing what “the masses” are doing. In reality, 99% of what gets posted in social media is just noise.
Just because a scenario is widely discussed doesn’t automatically make it wrong. TA is TA. And hindsight is a b*tch. This cycle, everyone second guessed the obvious scenario and tried to outplay the market narrative, all of them were wrong. Why? Because they focused more on outsmarting the crowd than reading the chart.
Here’s the truth: I don’t care what anyone posts. Never have, never will. I care about my plan, my analysis, my observations. Everything else is background noise. It might come off as arrogant, but it’s not ego, it’s discipline. That’s basic trading fundamentals: stick to your plan.
So when you say “everyone is expecting the same thing,” you’re really talking about a tiny fraction of people on social media, probably less than 5% of actual BTC volume. The real size operates quietly. Institutions, funds, advanced algos. they’re watching volume, liquidity, order flow, depth, risk/reward. They’re not scrolling timelines for validation.
They don’t care what you think. And neither should you. Avoid the noise.