$BTC clawed back nearly 2% during Monday's Asian session after a scary weekend dip below $70,000. But don't let the bounce fool you. Several respected analysts are warning that this relief is temporary and the real pain hasn't even started yet.
The $57K to $87K Box That Nobody Wants to Talk About
Analyst Doctor Profit has mapped out what he calls a new trading "box" ranging from $57,000 to $87,000. That's a massive 33% spread, and he expects BTC to grind sideways within it for weeks, possibly months.
Here's the catch. This isn't bullish consolidation. It's structural decay disguised as stability. Doctor Profit points back to 2024 when Bitcoin chopped between $58,000 and $74,000 for nearly a year before eventually exploding past $100,000. He warned back then that those same levels would become battleground zones in the next downturn. Fast forward to today and that prediction is playing out almost perfectly.
The difference now is context. What once acted as a launchpad is now functioning as a ceiling. Once this sideways grind exhausts itself, Doctor Profit expects a clean breakdown targeting the $44,000 to $50,000 zone.
Smart Money Is Playing Both Sides
Doctor Profit admits he's buying spot BTC between $57,000 and $60,000, viewing it as the local floor of this range. But he's clear that this isn't the final bottom. He sees this zone getting tested multiple times, making it ideal for short term range plays.
If price pushes toward $87,000, he plans to add to short positions he opened between $115,000 and $125,000, which remain fully active. His real accumulation targets sit much lower, in the low $40,000s to low $50,000s, where he believes the macro bottom will form around September or October.
His blunt take: "We are in a bear market. The bounces are temporary and exist to build liquidity for further downside."
Technical Signals Paint a Grim Picture
Analyst Filbfilb drew direct comparisons between today's price structure and the 2022 bear market. BTC is now trading below its 50 week exponential moving average near $95,300, a level widely considered a critical trend indicator. Losing that level strips away any remaining bullish argument and leaves the chart looking eerily similar to previous capitulation cycles.
The Capitulation Everyone Is Waiting For
BitBull added fuel to the bearish fire, stating that BTC's "final capitulation hasn't happened yet." His thesis is straightforward: a genuine bottom will only form below $50,000, the level where the majority of spot ETF buyers would be sitting on losses. Until that washout occurs, every bounce is just bait.
The months ahead could test the patience of even the most committed holders.
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