๐Ÿ“ˆ Urgent: The size of prediction markets jumps to $63.5 billion in 2025... but is a large part of it imaginary?

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๐Ÿ“ข What's new?

โ€“ CertiK reported that the size of prediction markets rose from $15.8 billion in 2024 to $63.5 billion in 2025

โ€“ Liquidity is mainly concentrated in Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion

โ€“ However, research indicates that up to 60% of Polymarket's activity during incentive periods may be wash trading

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โ“Do you think wash trading distorts the real volume in prediction markets, or is the growth genuine after all?

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