While the entire crypto world holds its breath, $BTC has set up a real nerve game around the psychological mark. Is this preparation for a $100k flight, or a subtle trap for long traders? Let's break down the numbers that don't lie.
📊 Market landscape: Numbers and facts
In the last 24 hours, BTC shows a "sideways" trend with a slight downward slope.
Current price: ~$69,189.
Dominance: 59.04% (Bitcoin continues to "suck the blood" from altcoins).
Distance from ATH: -45% from the peak of October 2025 ($126,198).
This is a critical point. We see a series of ascending lows, but every attempt by bulls to break $70,000 meets a wall of sell orders.
🔍 On-chain detective: Who is selling?
The most interesting insights lie in cash flow analysis. Binance data shows a worrying signal:
Overall balance: -4,195 BTC for the day. Money is leaving the market.
Whale Pressure: Large players offloaded 3,707 BTC. In the last 5 days, this figure reached an impressive -15,464 BTC.
Conclusion: While retail traders hope for growth, large capital is methodically taking profits or going into wait mode.
📉 Scenario 1: Bearish Test (Priority)
If whale pressure does not subside, we are in for a "shaking":
Trigger: Break of support at $68,300.
Target: Correction to $65,500 - $64,000.
Why? The market needs to remove excess liquidity and test the zones where large limit buy orders are placed.
📈 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout
If bulls absorb the supply from whales:
Trigger: Confident consolidation above $71,126 (preferably on a 4-hour candle).
Target: Quick impulse to $75,500 - $78,000.
Why? A break of $71k will force shorters to close positions en masse, creating a "fuel" rocket upward.
💡 Tips for Traders (Trade Plan)
Don't guess — react. Levels $68,300 and $71,100 are your decision-making points.
Watch the volumes. A breakout without volume is a false start.
Risk management. Place stops below $68k if you are long, as "whales" rarely make mistakes in momentum.
Important: This analysis is created for educational purposes. The crypto market is volatile, so always do your own research (#DYOR).
What do you think? Are whales taking profits before a crash or just reallocating liquidity? Comment below! 👇