#BTC何时反弹？ #何时抄底？ The following are the annual price ranges for BTC/ETH from 2026 to 2030, along with corresponding investment/exit strategies, categorized into optimistic/benchmark/pessimistic scenarios for easier execution and review.
I. Annual Price Range (2026-2030)
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Optimistic: 2026 (120,000-150,000); 2027 (200,000-250,000); 2028 (300,000-400,000); 2029 (500,000-600,000); 2030 (700,000-760,000).
- Benchmark: 2026 (100,000-120,000); 2027 (180,000-220,000); 2028 (250,000-300,000); 2029 (350,000-400,000); 2030 (400,000-500,000).
- Pessimistic: 2026 (70,000-90,000); 2027 (100,000-150,000); 2028 (150,000-200,000); 2029 (200,000-250,000); 2030 (250,000-300,000).
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Optimistic: 2026 (6,000-8,000); 2027 (12,000-15,000); 2028 (20,000-25,000); 2029 (30,000-35,000); 2030 (35,000-40,000).
- Benchmark: 2026 (4,000-6,000); 2027 (8,000-10,000); 2028 (15,000-18,000); 2029 (20,000-25,000); 2030 (25,000-30,000).
- Pessimistic: 2026 (2,500-3,500); 2027 (3,500-5,000); 2028 (5,000-8,000); 2029 (8,000-12,000); 2030 (12,000-15,000).
2. Scenario triggers and execution strategies
- Optimistic (regulatory friendly + ETF explosion + interest rate cuts)
- Dollar-cost averaging: fixed investment every week, add an extra 1x for every 15% drop; fully invested before the 2028 halving, only reduce positions after halving without adding.
- Take profits: 2026 (150,000), 2027 (250,000), 2028 (400,000), 2029 (600,000), 2030 (760,000) each take profit 15%; single asset position not exceeding 30%.
- Benchmark (regulatory neutrality + steady capital inflow)
- Dollar-cost averaging: biweekly investment, add an extra 0.5x for every 10% drop; maintain 70-80% position before the 2028 halving.
- Take profits: 2026 (120,000), 2027 (220,000), 2028 (300,000), 2029 (400,000), 2030 (500,000) each take profit 10%; replenish 5% if the drop exceeds 20%.
- Pessimistic (strong regulation + liquidity tightening)
- Dollar-cost averaging: monthly investment, only double the investment when BTC <70,000 / ETH <3,000; total position controlled at 30-50%.
- Take profits: 2026 (90,000), 2027 (150,000), 2028 (200,000), 2029 (250,000), 2030 (300,000) each take profit 5%; liquidate to avoid risk if breaking key support levels.
3. Key nodes and risk control
- 2026: ETF funds continue to flow in, pay attention to the implementation of U.S. regulatory legislation; maintain 50% cash if the drop exceeds 20%.
- 2027: Halving expectations heat up, reduce positions by 10%-15% on the rise, avoid chasing highs.
- 2028: Halving occurs, supply contracts; take profits in batches in the first half, mainly observe in the second half.
- 2029-2030: Institutional allocation normalizes; dollar-cost averaging shifts to quarterly balance, rebalancing once a year.
- Risk control: single asset <30%, cash >20%; review every quarter, adjust strategy according to scenarios. $BTC
